UMBC
W-L: (15-15) PR = 93.5288Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1106 H Maryland B10 (24- 9, 97.2) 54-87 1113 A Virginia ACC (21-13, 96.1) 61-56 1116 H Brown IVY (14-11, 94.1) 54-56 1119 H MD-Ea Shore MEAC (20-15, 93.4) 54-68 1123 H Towson CA (16-14, 93.3) 64-71 1128 H Florida Int CUSA (21-12, 94.3) 76-86 1130 A Presbyterian BSO ( 2-28, 90.0) 68-48 1206 A Morgan State MEAC ( 5-25, 90.9) 66-48 1209 H Loyola-MD PAT L (13-18, 92.8) 57-60 1221 H American PAT ( 7-24, 92.0) 61-65 101 H NJ Tech AE (19-13, 93.7) 75-80 108 H Maine AE (18-13, 94.1) 43-58 110 A New Hamp. AE ( 9-20, 92.4) 58-47 115 A Bryant AE (17-11, 93.5) 55-47 117 A Binghamton AE (17-13, 93.8) 64-58 122 A NJ Tech AE (19-13, 93.7) 52-51 124 A UMass Lowell AE ( 6-21, 91.8) 75-52 129 H Vermont AE (25- 8, 94.7) 47-69 131 A UAlbany AE (12-17, 93.0) 55-46 205 H Binghamton AE (17-13, 93.8) 59-73 212 H Maine AE (18-13, 94.1) 55-56 214 A New Hamp. AE ( 9-20, 92.4) 61-44 219 A Vermont AE (25- 8, 94.7) 46-44 221 H UAlbany AE (12-17, 93.0) **-69 226 A Bryant AE (17-11, 93.5) 65-80 228 A UMass Lowell AE ( 6-21, 91.8) 66-43 305 A NJ Tech AE (19-13, 93.7) 66-65 309 H Vermont AE (25- 8, 94.7) 319 A Ohio MA (17-15, 94.0) 62-58 323 H Marshall SB (24- 9, 95.1) 53-66
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1106 H Maryland 54-87 -33 -4 0.00
1113 A Virginia 61-56 5 -3 ++ 4.00
1116 H Brown 54-56 -2 -1 -1.40
1119 H MD-Ea Shore 54-68 -14 0 - -2.17
1123 H Towson 64-71 -7 0 - -2.20
1128 H Florida Int 76-86 -10 -1 -1.20
1130 A Presbyterian 68-48 20 4 0.00
1206 A Morgan State 66-48 18 3 0.00
1209 H Loyola-MD 57-60 -3 1 - -2.77
1221 H American 61-65 -4 2 - -3.52
101 H NJ Tech 75-80 -5 0 -1.88
108 H Maine 43-58 -15 -1 -1.48
110 A New Hamp. 58-47 11 1 0.91
115 A Bryant 55-47 8 0 + 2.02
117 A Binghamton 64-58 6 0 + 2.26
122 A NJ Tech 52-51 1 0 1.14
124 A UMass Lowell 75-52 23 2 0.25
129 H Vermont 47-69 -22 -1 -0.84
131 A UAlbany 55-46 9 1 1.49
205 H Binghamton 59-73 -14 0 -1.76
212 H Maine 55-56 -1 -1 -0.48
214 A New Hamp. 61-44 17 1 0.91
219 A Vermont 46-44 2 -1 + 3.18
221 H UAlbany **-69 51 1 1.47
226 A Bryant 65-80 -15 0 -1.98
228 A UMass Lowell 66-43 23 2 0.25
305 A NJ Tech 66-65 1 0 1.14
319 A Ohio 62-58 4 0 + 2.47
323 H Marshall 53-66 -13 -2 -0.44
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1119 H MD-Ea Shore 54-68 -14 0 - -2.17 1123 H Towson 64-71 -7 0 - -2.20 1209 H Loyola-MD 57-60 -3 1 - -2.77 1221 H American 61-65 -4 2 - -3.52 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1113 A Virginia 61-56 5 -3 ++ 4.00 115 A Bryant 55-47 8 0 + 2.02 117 A Binghamton 64-58 6 0 + 2.26 219 A Vermont 46-44 2 -1 + 3.18 319 A Ohio 62-58 4 0 + 2.47 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Maryland (24- 9, 97.2) 54-87 -2.68 8.28 -0.01 1.05 -1.41
0 A Virginia (21-13, 96.1) 61-56 -3.77 7.19 0.01 1.05 15.07
3 H Brown (14-11, 94.1) 54-56 -5.76 5.20 -0.01 1.05 -3.02
3 H MD-Ea Shore (20-15, 93.4) 54-68 -6.54 4.42 -0.01 1.05 -3.43
3 H Towson (16-14, 93.3) 64-71 -6.56 4.40 -0.01 1.05 -3.44
3 H Florida Int (21-12, 94.3) 76-86 -5.56 5.40 -0.01 1.05 -2.91
3 A Presbyterian ( 2-28, 90.0) 68-48 -9.92 1.04 0.01 1.05 2.21
3 A Morgan State ( 5-25, 90.9) 66-48 -9.02 1.94 0.01 1.05 4.07
3 H Loyola-MD (13-18, 92.8) 57-60 -7.13 3.83 -0.01 1.05 -3.74
3 H American ( 7-24, 92.0) 61-65 -7.88 3.08 -0.01 1.05 -4.13
3 H NJ Tech (19-13, 93.7) 75-80 -6.24 4.72 -0.01 1.05 -3.27
3 H Maine (18-13, 94.1) 43-58 -5.84 5.12 -0.01 1.05 -3.06
3 A New Hamp. ( 9-20, 92.4) 58-47 -7.47 3.49 0.01 1.05 7.33
3 A Bryant (17-11, 93.5) 55-47 -6.36 4.60 0.01 1.05 9.65
3 A Binghamton (17-13, 93.8) 64-58 -6.12 4.84 0.01 1.05 10.16
3 A NJ Tech (19-13, 93.7) 52-51 -6.24 4.72 0.01 1.05 9.89
3 A UMass Lowell ( 6-21, 91.8) 75-52 -8.14 2.82 0.01 1.05 5.93
3 H Vermont (25- 8, 94.7) 47-69 -5.20 5.76 -0.01 1.05 -2.73
3 A UAlbany (12-17, 93.0) 55-46 -6.89 4.07 0.01 1.05 8.53
3 H Binghamton (17-13, 93.8) 59-73 -6.12 4.84 -0.01 1.05 -3.21
3 H Maine (18-13, 94.1) 55-56 -5.84 5.12 -0.01 1.05 -3.06
3 A New Hamp. ( 9-20, 92.4) 61-44 -7.47 3.49 0.01 1.05 7.33
3 A Vermont (25- 8, 94.7) 46-44 -5.20 5.76 0.01 1.05 12.07
3 H UAlbany (12-17, 93.0) **-69 -6.89 4.07 -0.01 1.05 8.49
3 A Bryant (17-11, 93.5) 65-80 -6.36 4.60 0.01 1.05 -3.32
3 A UMass Lowell ( 6-21, 91.8) 66-43 -8.14 2.82 0.01 1.05 5.93
3 A NJ Tech (19-13, 93.7) 66-65 -6.24 4.72 0.01 1.05 9.89
3 A Ohio (17-15, 94.0) 62-58 -5.91 5.05 0.01 1.05 10.60
3 H Marshall (24- 9, 95.1) 53-66 -4.80 6.16 -0.01 1.05 -2.52
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83.93
|
winning pts = 127.1609 losing points = -43.2268
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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